Severe weather is ready to become a regular occurrence in the U.S. once again, and we’re here to cover yet another tornado season! Here’s where you can potentially find some early season twisters.
1-3 Day
Thursday – Illinois
NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 0-2 – CONFIDENCE: High
Tornado Hot-spot: None
Pros: Good dynamics, good speed shear.
Cons: Poor/decent directional shear, low CAPE, mostly linear storm mode.
Friday – Far eastern Ohio Valley
NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 0-2 – CONFIDENCE: High
Tornado Hot-spot: None
Pros: Good speed shear.
Cons: Poor/decent directional shear, low CAPE, mostly linear storm mode.
Saturday – Deep South
NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 8-20 – CONFIDENCE: Normal
Tornado Hot-spot: None
Pros: Moderate instability, good speed shear, decent/good directional shear, excellent dynamics.
Cons: Potential contamination from early day clouds and rain, potential for veer-back-veer profiles, storms may quickly grow upscale.
4-7 Day
Sunday – Southeast, Ohio Valley, western Mid-Atlantic
NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 2-5 – CONFIDENCE: Normal
Tornado Hot-spot: None
Pros: Good speed shear, good dynamics.
Cons: Poor/decent directional shear, low instability, potential contamination from early day clouds and rain.
Monday
No tornadoes expected.
Tuesday
No tornadoes expected.
Wednesday – Southeastern Plains, central and southern Mississippi Valley
NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 8-20 – CONFIDENCE: Low
Tornado Hot-spot: None
Pros: Moderate to high instability, decent/good speed shear, good dynamics.
Cons: Poor/decent directional shear.
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