April went out with a bang, but May starts off on the quiet side, with nothing to really speak of until mid-week next week.
Coastal North Carolina — TORNADO RANGE: 0-1 — CONFIDENCE: High
Expected Tornado Hotspot: None
Pros: Good speed shear, low to moderate instability
Cons: Poor directional shear, mostly linear storm mode, extensive cloud cover
Friday
No tornadoes expected.
Saturday
No tornadoes expected.
No tornadoes expected.
Monday
No tornadoes expected.
Tuesday
Southern Plains — TORNADO RANGE: 0-1 — CONFIDENCE: Normal
Expected Tornado Hotspot: None
Pros: Good directional shear, moderate instability
Cons: Poor/decent speed shear, capping issues, rising heights, high LCLs, questionable storm coverage (if any)
Wednesday
Kansas, Oklahoma, central Texas — TORNADO RANGE: 0-4 — CONFIDENCE: Low
Expected Tornado Hotspot: None
Pros: Good speed and directional shear, moderate instability, decent upper-level forcing
Cons: Capping and storm coverage concerns, rising/steady heights
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Tornado numbers were near or above average. A chase season peak in June provided numerous…
One of the more widespread tornado outbreaks in years, from Iowa and Illinois to Arkansas.
The active start of the year could be a sign, but a mid-March pattern change…
A near average year for tornadoes across the country, with a cool season bend. We've…
