Tornado Threat Forecast: May 2-8, 2013

1-3 DAY


Thursday

No tornadic activity expected.

Friday

Eastern Gulf Coast — POTENTIAL: Very Low — CONFIDENCE: High
There will be enough instability and directional shear ahead of a cold front that storms could rotate and potentially produce a tornado.

Saturday

Southern Georgia, Florida — POTENTIAL: Low — CONFIDENCE: High
Speed shear will be very weak, but with instability up to 1500 J/kg along with some directional shear, storms that form along/ahead of the cold front could mature enough to put down a tornado.

4-7 DAY


Sunday

Eastern Georgia, South Carolina — POTENTIAL: Low — CONFIDENCE: Normal
Similar setup as Saturday, but with lower instability and better low-level shear.

Monday

No tornadic activity expected.

Tuesday

No tornadic activity expected.

Wednesday

Central High Plains — POTENTIAL: Medium — CONFIDENCE: Low
A lee trough with favorable directional shear and low to moderate CAPE could trigger supercells capable of producing tornadoes, but speed shear will probably be on the weak side as the upper-level forcing hangs back over the Southwest and has little impact on the day’s setup.

The following two tabs change content below.
Operational Meteorologist at WeatherBug (Earth Networks). See full bio.

Latest posts by Mark Ellinwood (see all)

Mark Ellinwood

Operational Meteorologist at WeatherBug (Earth Networks). See full bio.

Share
Published by
Mark Ellinwood

Recent Posts

Girls Who Chase: Empowering Female Storm Chasers

In a field historically dominated by men, Jen Walton has emerged as a transformative figure…

4 months ago

The Storm Doctor: Dr. Jason Persoff

Jason Persoff, MD, SFHM, is recognized globally for his expertise in storm chasing. He earned…

9 months ago

Top tornado videos of 2023

Tornado numbers were near or above average. A chase season peak in June provided numerous…

11 months ago

March 31, 2023 tornado outbreak videos

One of the more widespread tornado outbreaks in years, from Iowa and Illinois to Arkansas.

2 years ago

Spring 2023 seasonal tornado outlook

The active start of the year could be a sign, but a mid-March pattern change…

2 years ago

Top tornado videos of 2022

A near average year for tornadoes across the country, with a cool season bend. We've…

2 years ago