For the sake of brevity, I’ll just say that the main storm system containing the tornado threat has slowed dramatically in the forecast, so I decided to send out an update with new risk areas to accommodate the slower storm progression. There is still a fairly large amount of uncertainty with the storm evolution as the models struggle to come to a consensus even in the short range. The potential and forecast confidence for each day listed after the break.
Sunday
Ohio Valley — POTENTIAL: Low — CONFIDENCE: Normal
Monday
Southern Plains — POTENTIAL: Medium — CONFIDENCE: Low
Tuesday
Southern Plains, ArkLaTex — POTENTIAL: Low — CONFIDENCE: Low
Wednesday
Southern Delta — POTENTIAL: Low — CONFIDENCE: Low
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